1+ week, 3+ day ago   (283+ words) Analysis: China Isn’t Scared of Trump’s Squeeze on Iran There’s a fatal flaw to the Trump administration’s recently announced “economic D-Day” against Iran. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared that the new U.S. sanctions and pressure campaign was…...

4+ day, 13+ hour ago   (515+ words) Argument: How Could Iran Happen? An Autopsy. The U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran is now in its seventh month, with costs during periods of heavy fighting estimated at roughly $1 billion per day. Despite having the world’s most powerful military, the United…...

5+ day, 14+ hour ago   (543+ words) Argument: The U.S. and China Don’t Need an AI Grand Bargain Of course, any bilateral agreement must recognize the powerful incentives for governments and companies on both sides to continue competing against each other. But even within this environment, each country…...

1+ week, 2+ day ago   (509+ words) Essay: What Was the War on Terror? The war on terror is over. It lasted from Sept. 11, 2001, to the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021. As we approach the 25th anniversary of 9/11, it is useful for both historical and policy reasons to…...

1+ week, 4+ day ago   (642+ words) Analysis: How U.S. Allies Can Resist Washington’s Bullying U.S. President Donald Trump has made coercion a central element of American statecraft—and not just against Washington’s adversaries. In his second term, Trump has liberally wielded sanctions, tariffs, trade policies, and other…...

1+ week, 6+ day ago   (385+ words) Analysis: Beijing and Washington Can Build AI Safety Despite Mutual Distrust If this renewed dialogue is to succeed, then both governments need to move quickly and approach it with a clear sense of purpose. A similar consensus is emerging in…...

1+ week, 6+ day ago   (691+ words) Argument: It’s Time to Rein in Trump’s ‘Wars on Terror’ The Trump administration has cynically tried to cloak its boat strikes in the mantle of the post-9/11 “war on terror”—labeling the victims of these attacks as “narco-terrorists,” supposedly affiliated…...

2+ week, 2+ day ago   (539+ words) Q&A: Why Are Yields on U.S. Treasury Bonds Rising? Your all-access pass to FP Prefer to listen? To hear this entire conversation, and more episodes in the weeks ahead, follow Ones and Tooze wherever you get your podcasts. Why exactly are…...

2+ week, 3+ day ago   (577+ words) Analysis: China’s Success Is Forcing a U.S. AI Rethink The United States has bet the farm on artificial intelligence across the board, from industry to finance to government policy. But the combination of a China shock and multiple cases of AIs…...

2+ week, 5+ day ago   (465+ words) Analysis: Iran’s Economy May Outlast Trump’s Presidency But how close is Iran’s economy to collapse? How long can it hold out, and how much further economic pain is needed to alter the leadership’s thinking? Iran’s capacity to absorb the pain…...